Here's the one migrant post for this week. New week begins Monday!
Kaarst is a small rural community to the west of Düsseldorf. It has 41,000 residents (g) only 6.7% of whom are foreigners. I've been there a number of times. There are plenty of rich fields and pleasant, unspectacular brick homes. The center-right CDU gets 44% of the vote. According to the Königstein system, migrants are resettled to every corner of Germany according to a complex formula. This is meant to ensure equal burden-sharing.
Kaarst was required to accept migrants, even though many citizens showed up at a planning meeting to protest this (g). Their objections were overruled, and Kaarst now hosts migrants in various locations (g). If you look at these news articles I linked to, they show that the majority of residents of Kaarst have been welcoming toward migrants. They've helped set up accommodations, held a musical benefit, and invited migrants to help celebrate the Day of German Unity.
Kaarst is still the kind of place where women jog and walk around alone in the evening without giving the matter a second thought. In fact, much of Germany is that kind of place, which startled and gratified me when I came here.
Now let's look at what happened to one of those women.
Let me translate an article that just appeared (g) in the local tabloid, "In Kaarst Cemetery: 17-year-old attacked! Police searching for sex criminal with broken incisor". This is my translation, I've just removed some street names for clarity:
Police asking for assistance: Sunday evening, a 17-year-old was the victim of a sex crime. The young woman was walking from Büttgen [a suburb of Kaarst] train station at 8 PM. As she [walked through the town] she was followed by an unknown person on a bicycle.
Near the cemetery he dropped his bicycle and grabbed the victim. He attacked the young woman in a clearly sexual manner. She fought back with all her strength and finally freed herself. She ran straight to her bicycle and fled.
The man followed the 17-year-old but then turned into a field. The victim was injured during the struggle. An ambulance brought her to a hospital.
Police have begun investigations and are now searching for a suspect described as follows:
1.85 meters tall, 18 to 19 years old.
Muscular, powerful build
'Southern' appearance with dark eyes.
Clothes: Gray cap, gray baggy pants, and a gray sweatshirt.
He spoke English and another language unknown to the victim
Rode, according to the victim, a broken-down BMX bike without light.
One Particular Characteristic: His right tooth was half as long as his left.
And on Wednesday morning, at 11:15, a woman tending a grave in this same cemetery was attacked (g) by two men with 'dark complexion', whatever that means. They were both on bicycles. They pushed her bicycle over, rummaged through the contents of her basket, and stole some items. When they were discovered, they pushed her away and rode off.
Let's think this through. The attempted rapist had a 'Southern' complexion, a broken tooth, was a 18-to-19 year old male, and spoke English and another unidentified language. Both he and the cemetery robbers were riding bicycles. (Migrant aid organizations have issued many calls for donations of bicycles.) This is in a small, conservative, 93% ethnic German town. I've been there many a time, and let me assure you, I didn't see many dark-complexioned men with bad teeth who spoke English and some other mystery language (Arabic?). I'd say the chances he's a migrant are at least 70%, wouldn't you?
Incidents like this are, of course, exceptions, but they have a staggeringly disproportionate impact. I know this because I've lived through this movie before and know the ending. There was a massive increase in crime in the US from about 1965 to 1995. Now even though crime had increased, it was still objectively the case that any one person's chances of actually becoming a victim were still very small. I lived in Houston, Texas, which had very high crime rates, but was never mugged myself.
But the constant drip-drip-drip of press coverage caused a climate of fear. People were constantly thinking and talking about the latest random attack. The public's attitude became cynical and angry, and the laws were made harsher, not only in Houston, but throughout the USA. (This won't happen to the same extent in Germany, where crime legislation rarely changes due to public opinion). Humans overestimate risks of events that are recent, unusual, and dangerous. They always have and always will, this is a constant of human nature. If you're a woman and you went jogging in the park at night in Houston, your chances of spraining your ankle were probably 500 times higher than your chances of being raped. But it's the chance of a horribly violent incident that will change your behavior, even if its likelihood is extremely small.
One attempted rape of a 17-year-old girl by a foreigner is going to have 100 times the impact on ordinary Germans' opinions of migrants than 100 migrants successfully learning German and integrating. One completed rape is going to have 500 times the impact. If attacks like this continue and police aren't able to solve or prevent them, there's going to be a big shift in public opinion. And since Germany has cut 16,000 police jobs (g) in the past few years, they're already stretched thin.
Women currently walk and jog in most places in Germany during the evening. I've been out biking in the fine weather lately, and have passed many of them on my bicycle. If Germany becomes the kind of place where women can no longer do this because of attacks disproportionately committed by migrants, that will be not only a huge loss for German society, but will also trigger enormous anger and resentment. And police statistics confirm that recent immigrants commit crimes, including violent crimes (g) at a higher rate than Germans.
People will be furious that their country is no longer the kind of place where women can walk around without concern at night. They'll be even more furious that this state of affairs came about unnecessarily due to the needless, short-sighted, foolish mass importation of migrants unsuited for life in Germany. No amount of emollient euphemisms from mainstream politicians will calm their anxieties. And they will be looking for someone to blame. I've seen it happen before, and it's not pretty.